Session Overview

The New York session shows a bifurcated market: broad AUD strength continues to dominate forex while crypto assets stage a sharp risk-on rally. European indices lag, USD, EUR, GBP and gold remain confined to quiet intraday ranges, leaving AUD as the only currency trading with normal activity.

Key Moves

  • SOLUSD: Up +12.81% to 109.21. Ten consecutive bullish D1 bars confirm an extreme trending move, the strongest signal in the crypto complex.
  • UNIUSD: Up +8.22% to 4.5935. Extreme volatility accompanies the advance as the token breaks higher on developing bullish momentum.
  • F40: Down -1.47% to 8,332.5. French equities underperform peers despite an extreme_bearish D1 momentum reading that contrasts with the intraday bullish tick.
  • AUDJPY: Up +0.37% to 114.70, extending a two-bar bullish D1 streak. Part of the broader AUD appreciation theme confirmed across five gated signals.
  • XRPUSD: Up +5.40% to 1.451. Crypto majors post synchronized gains, with nine confirmed bearish D1 trends elsewhere in the space suggesting mixed underlying positioning despite the rally.

Notable Signals

Five FXT+BID-gated forex signals remain active and directionally consistent with AUD strength: AUDCAD, AUDJPY and AUDUSD buys, plus EURAUD and GBPAUD sells. Confidence ranges from 0.72 to 0.82 with quality scores near 7.5, though EURAUD and GBPAUD are flagged to avoid since EUR and GBP are both trading 'quiet' (z-scores below -2), making new entries likely to be filtered by the Position Manager. The AUD-bullish cluster (AUDUSD, AUDJPY, AUDCAD) already fills the portfolio's max exposure per currency direction. ETHUSD's long-running buy signal shows the deepest reward at 2.63R with an MFE of 3.53.

Risk Sentiment

Sentiment is mixed rather than clearly risk-on or risk-off. Crypto's broad rally and gains in US500, USTEC and DE40 point to selective risk appetite, but weakness in F40, AUS200 and STOXX50 shows equity divergence across regions. Gold is directionally bearish on D1 despite a small intraday gain, and with USD, EUR, GBP, CAD, CHF, JPY and gold all quiet, AUD strength looks like an isolated commodity-currency theme rather than a broad dollar move.

Outlook

Attention turns to Fed Chairman Warsh's speech on 2026-08-28 at 14:00 UTC, a high-impact USD event most relevant for AUDUSD exposure. With six major currencies still range-bound, traders should watch for a volatility pickup around the event while monitoring whether AUD's broad-based strength extends or fades as quiet USD activity persists.